538 electoral votes calculator download

In each of these approaches, statelevel winning probabilities are assigned to the candidates with each update of the forecast. According to article ii, section 1, clause 2 of the. If you prefer, you can also use the 2016 electoral map or the 2018 midterm election vote as the starting point for your own electoral forecast. Create a specific matchup by clicking the party andor names near the electoral vote counter. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by all of these forecasters are shown in the darkest shade. One such thing that may not make obvious sense is why there are 538 electors. This number is decided by the number senators and house representatives for that state. Americas electoral map is changing fivethirtyeight. We then adjusted the size of those groups based on four years of population change. Thats a tall order, but now theres a tool to figure out who would win with the right combination of states, right on your phone or tablet. But sometimes they dont the electoral college will vote monday for the next president.

Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast. The 2016 election for the president of the united states took place on tuesday, november 8, 2016. Electoral college vote calculator and map generator. Adjust the turnout and twoparty vote to simulate 2016 presidential election scenarios. What would it take to flip states in the 2016 election. The electoral college is tricky enough to wrap your mind around in general, so you might not have thought to wonder. The electoral college is tricky enough to wrap your mind around in. The electoral college website now has an easytoremember address. The electoral college has 538 electors, and each state has the same number of electors as it has members in congress house of representatives and senate. The electoral college is a body of electors established by the united states constitution, which forms every four years for the sole purpose of electing the president and vice president of the united states. The rust belt elevated trump, but its electoral power is dwindling. Conduct a simulated 2016 presidential election in just 15 seconds. Using a electoral vote calculator government programs.

Run whatif scenarios to see how a race might have turned out. Americas electoral map is changing see for yourself in these five charts. The electoral college is how we refer to the process by which the united states elects the president, even though that term does not appear in. Red denotes states won by nixonagnew, blue denotes the one state and the one district won by mcgovernshriver, gold is the electoral vote for hospersnathan by a virginia faithless elector. November 3, 2020election day the voters in each state choose electors to serve in the electoral college. Democrats won the house national popular vote by about 8. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 electoral map forecast. If you have a question about politics, civics, history, etc.

Explain the role of the electoral college in electing the. Estimating partisan bias of the electoral college under. They are effective for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections. This threepart calculator allows you to monitor the progress of the leading democratic candidates as they pursue the 1,991 pledged delegates required to win the 2020 democratic nomination on the first ballot. When you adjust the vote and turnout above, our model recalculates the results for each state as well as the electoral college outcome and the national. Fivethirtyeight is forecasting the presidential election with three models. Electoral college calculator for android apk download. You can even download your custom map and even share it on social media. Understanding the electoral college best states us news. Calculates electoral vote results for any election year 1840 2004 and produces results map. Your state has the same number of electors as it does members in its congressional delegation. You can download all the maps that you create as an image to your gallery with. Start by downloading the free template by clicking the link below.

December 14, 2020meeting of electors the electors in each state meet to select the president and vice president of the united states. The rust belt elevated trump, but its electoral power is. Keeping this number in mind, the electoral vote calculator is used to predict the point totals through each states assumed. A 2020 presidential election map based on the consensus of the most respected. We started with the results of the 2012 election and the support for each partys candidate by the five demographic groups. Electoral maps derived from fivethirtyeight forecasts. Nate silvers fivethirtyeight uses statistical analysis hard numbers to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science, economics and lifestyle. The electoral college consists of 538 electors, and an absolute majority of at. Presidential election calculator lite application center. The electoral vote map, therefore is a list of all 50 states in addition to washington d. Each state has a certain number of electorsdetermined by population size out of the total 538 who vote at. Electoral college calculator includes a state profile feature that lets you view.

See using the delegate calculator for more detailed instructions. Using current statelevel polls, this mock presidential election simulator will project one possible outcome of the 2016 election. Create your own forecast for the 2020 presidential election. Many criticisms of the electoral college system exist. The electors almost always align with the popular vote. Additional forecasts will be added as they become available. Determining state preferences for the electoral college. Lawrence lessig says the current electoral system is unconstitutional and hes suing to change it. Former president barack obama was unable to seek reelection for a third term according to the twentysecond amendment to the united states constitution, which states that a president may only serve up to two terms.